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Economy

Why forecasts can make us overconfident

HERE’S THE INTERESTING PART

You cannot steer the global economy, but plenty of analysts desperately pretend they can. The illusion of control is the arrogant cognitive bias where individuals believe their tiny actions can dictate massive, wildly unpredictable market trends. It leads to incredibly confident predictions that are eventually pulverized by chaotic, unforeseen real-world variables.

Why forecasts can make us overconfident
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