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Psychology

How the Texas sharpshooter fallacy fools you

HERE’S THE INTERESTING PART

You read an incredibly vague psychic prediction from last year, violently cherry-pick the three vague things that happened, and loudly declare it a miracle. The Texas sharpshooter fallacy is our brilliant ability to spot meaningful clusters in completely random data only after the fact, perfectly ignoring the vast field of completely missed shots.

How the Texas sharpshooter fallacy fools you
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